PICK 72 - NCAAF - Virginia at Pitt - Saturday November 9, 2024

Nov 09, 2024 - 08:29 PM

The Virginia Cavaliers at The Pitt Panthers

Saturday, November 9, 2024

Released to our subscribers on Sunday, November 3, 2024



Pitt was undefeated until last Saturday. 

They really have not beaten much in their last 5 games. 

Here’s who they’ve played. 
1) Youngstown State- an FCS team 
2)  California is probably the exception, who were in the middle of a 4 game losing streak, but against pretty good programs. 
3)  North Carolina, whose defense was just about the worst in college football for a 5 game stretch. 
4)  Syracuse, when Kyle McCord didn't show up and threw 5 interceptions. 
5)  They were then beaten by SMU who came up with a good game plan that can be duplicated. The Mustangs were leading and dominating 34 to 3 before they took their foot off the gas pedal. 

Two weeks ago Virginia shuffled their offensive line and just didn’t show up. 

They’ve made adjustments and are coming back from a needed bye week. 

The Cavaliers have a brutal schedule coming up if they want to make a bowl game. 

They’ll need to win today.

If Virginia had played better in their last contest the line for this game would have been closer to +3.

They didn’t, and it isn’t. Which hopefully gives us some value. 

In addition,  Pitts dominating win against Syracuse, we really had the wrong side on that one, dramatically changed their season EPA. 

But, it was only 1 game. 

I like The Virginia Cavaliers +7.5