PICK 159 - NFL - Super Bowl Props - Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles - Sunday Feb. 9, 2025

Our Prop Bets for Super Bowl 59, the Kansas City Chiefs vs the Philadelphia Eagles.

Sunday, February 9, 2025

We have had some good success with these in past Super Bowls and hope to keep that going today.

In total, we have released 16 Prop Bets to our subscribers as follows.

Prop 1) Longest Completion by Jalen Hurts – Under 34.5 yards   -110
(His last completion this long was on November 14th against the Commanders, to a running back, Barkley)   

Prop 2) Total Completions by Mahomes Under 24   Even
(This number was close to his average for the season. But in the playoffs, he had 18 against Buffalo and 16 against Houston.)

Prop 3) Mahomes Rushing attempts   Over 5.5   -110
He averaged 4.5 during the season. Playoffs are different…
(Mahomes ran 11 times last week and 7 times against Houston)
 Rushes that count are: Tuck, kneel, and anything moving forward as a run.
 A sack does not count if throwing.
 FYI…. A sack does count in college.              

Prop 4)  Kelce receptions:   Under 6.5   -120
He averaged 4.5 in the postseason but was only targeted a total of 12 times. This number has been inflated by the public. Many remember Zach Ertz (Commanders) with 11 receptions.           

Prop 5) Saquon Barkley 2 or more Touchdowns Yes +290
 (Just a fun prop against a vulnerable rushing defense.)

Prop 6)  Jaden Hicks Total Tackles Over 3.5    -110
(He’s a rookie who went from not playing much, to getting 80% of the snaps.
Hicks had 5 tackles combined in his first 7 games, and then 18 in his last 4.)

Prop 7) First turnover will be a fumble  +130 
(Both QBs have gone 17 combined games without an INT. Both teams are good at causing fumbles.)

Prop 8) Gainwell’s first reception Over 4.5  yards  -110
(His average for playoffs is  8.3 yards. All are over 4.5 yards.)

Prop 9) Total rushing attempts by different players on both teams combined:  Over 8   -110
Some of the possibilities are at least: 
Gainwell, Goedert, Smith, Barkley, Hurts, Mahomes, Perine, Hunt, Pachecho, Worthy, Shipley, etc…
We could also see a QB kneel. Ariaza (the punter) was also credited with a run in the playoffs.
So far in the playoffs, 9.3 players per game (both teams combined) have been credited with a rushing attempt.

Prop 10) Fun one for a trick play: Mahomes or Hurts catch a pass (not necessarily at TD)                                                                                    
With 2 weeks for aggressive coaches to game plan we like Yes for this at    +1250

Prop 11)  Ju Ju Smith Schuster Receptions Over 1.5  -110

Prop 12) Chiefs Field Goals Over 1.5 -140

Prop 13) Mahomes TD passes Under 1.5  +150
       (Tough, but good value)         

Prop 14) Kelce Longest Catch Under 19.5  -110

Prop 15) Worthy Longest Reception Under 21.5   -135

…and finally…

Prop 16) Marquise Brown Total Receptions Under  3.5  +110
         
That's the complete list that we sent out to our subscribers.

A few have moved since the release.

There could be more, but I know of one sportsbook that took our initial numbers and shaded many between .20 and .30 cents.

Hope everyone has fun with them and does well.

Enjoy the Super Bowl!!!

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